Could 'predictive policing' help prevent burglary?

Date: 
2012-09-18
Publisher: 
BBC
Author: 
Phil Mackie

Supporters of a new initiative being tried out in the UK known as "predictive policing" argue that careful analysis of statistics and criminal behaviour could prevent future crime. News report on Operation Swordfish – a predictive policing scheme launched in the West Midlands.

The software works on the premise that criminals who commits burglaries often target the same area again shortly after the first incident.

Research from the Institute of Crime Science indicates that the neighbours of the initial burglary victim are especially vulnerable in the two weeks following the initial crime with around 30% of burglaries in Birmingham England in 2011 committed near to where the initial burglary had occurred.

The software identifies those properties most vulnerable following a burglary crime and then supports those households to reduce the likelihood of occurrence by, amongst other things, making neighbours aware and improving home security.

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